The latest Newspoll is out, showing Labor ahead 56-44 on two party preferred terms. The respective primaries are 48/39 in Labor's favour. Also, don't forget to check out Aristotle's latest polling summary updated with this latest poll.

First up we have the two party preferred standard graph for the year since February. The dashed lines are a 3-period moving average overlaid. Looking at this graph, it appears that the 2pp vote has been quite flat since mid-June, aside from that spike in early September which set off the leadership speculation.

Next up we have the two party preferred results averaged per month. This month looks about the same state of affairs as things were back in February. 

The next graph is averaged monthly primary polling data. This graph again shows us that the current state of the polls is about what they were in February, with the Coalition at their best primary vote all year..

Finally, this is a preferred PM graph. Overlaid are the primary votes for the respective parties. It is interesting to see how they track the PPM vote.

If you are interested in seeing more polling data, the latest Monthly averaged polls (including all pollsters) can be found here.

The latest Weekly Roundup (of media / political events) is here.

Finally, I've just written an article exploring the concept of a spending spree by the Coalition, entitled $22,000 Reasons to Vote Liberal.

  - JJ

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33. The Nielsen poll shows Labor Written by This e-mail address is being protected from spam bots, you need JavaScript enabled to view it , on 06-02-2008 04:26 The Nielsen poll shows Labor with a clear lead — 45-37 per cent — when people are asked which party has the better policies for Australia. It also leads (43-38 per cent) in response to the question of which party has "better policies for you".    People were divided over which side had the superior tax policy — 36 per cent said Labor and 33 per cent the Coalition. The low figures reflect the confusion over complicated policies, which share a large common element.    Labor's primary vote in the poll is 47 per cent; the Coalition is on 41 per cent; the Greens have 7 per cent. Kevin Rudd held a commanding lead over John Howard as preferred PM — 53 per cent to 39 per cent.    Pollster John Stirton said the numbers showed what a strong position Labor was in as it moved towards the third week of the campaign. Report

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