Here we have a few graphs, collating all of the Roy Morgan polls since November 2006 on the question of who do you think will win the next Federal Election. A couple of interesting things can be noted here.

Although the respective ALP & LNP two party preferred votes remained stable throughout most of this polling period, there is clearly a trend upwards (for the ALP) and downwards for the LNP on the public's view regarding their chances of victory. This really just reflects common-sense. The longer Labor's huge lead holds in the polls, the more people believe that a Labor victory is likely.

Furthermore, at every point after the Brian Bourke scandal where Rudd could reasonably be expected to take a hit, we see the converse - an increase in the percentage of people who think Labor will win. These movements are likely within the margin of error - but it is interesting to note nevertheless.

It would be interesting to compare this data to the same period in 2004 - but unfortunately Gary Morgan did not start asking this question until after last election. Anyway, to the graphs! (click Read More...)

This graph includes an overlaid 5-period moving average.

The next two graphs plot the respective LNP & ALP primary votes versus their "Think Will Win" percentage.

Comments (37)

1. diazepam temazepam Written by This e-mail address is being protected from spam bots, you need JavaScript enabled to view it , on 10-12-2007 23:02 wellbutrin is about wellbutrin. hydrocodone on line site is about hydrocodone on line. buprenorphine is about buprenorphine. growth hormone is about growth hormone. hoodia is about hoodia. alprazolam er is about alprazolam er. norco is about norco. aldara cream results is about aldara cream results. concerta is about concerta. zoloft is about zoloft. generic plavix site is about generic plavix. diazepam temazepam is about diazepam temazepam. Report

2. allergy Written by This e-mail address is being protected from spam bots, you need JavaScript enabled to view it , on 11-12-2007 00:55 temazepam is about temazepam. lowest lortab price is about lowest lortab price. ilosone site is about ilosone. mycostatin site is about mycostatin. famotidine site is about famotidine. vicodin is about vicodin. butalbital is about butalbital apap. ciprofloxacin is about ciprofloxacin. prices for clomid is about prices for clomid. paxil cr recall is about paxil cr recall. generic zolpidem is about generic zolpidem. allergy is about allergy. Report

3. dovonex Written by This e-mail address is being protected from spam bots, you need JavaScript enabled to view it , on 11-12-2007 00:58 yeast infection is about yeast infection. diamox is about diamox. diazepam recreational site is about diazepam recreational. percocet is about percocet. didrex is about didrex. klonopin site is about klonopin. zolpidem is about zolpidem lorazepam. zyprexa is about zyprexa. hydrocodone without prescription is about hydrocodone without prescription. diflucan fluconazole is about diflucan fluconazole. prices for soma is about prices for soma. dovonex is about dovonex. Report

4. brain injury Written by This e-mail address is being protected from spam bots, you need JavaScript enabled to view it , on 16-12-2007 23:50 multi vitamin is about multi vitamin. lorazepam is about lorazepam. diet pill site is about diet pill. diethylpropion is about diethylpropion. fennel flower is about fennel flower. discount fluconazole generic diflucan site is about discount fluconazole generic diflucan. buy ephedrine is about buy ephedrine. ativan is about lorazepam. sertraline is about sertraline. 4mg zofran is about 4mg zofran. zoloft site is about zoloft. brain injury is about brain injury. Report

5. plastic surgeons Written by This e-mail address is being protected from spam bots, you need JavaScript enabled to view it , on 17-12-2007 00:49 liposuction is about liposuction. tamiflu site is about tamiflu. dentist is about dentist. maxolon is about maxolon. valtrex is about valtrex. actos is about actos. diflucan without prescription is about diflucan without prescription. tenuate is about tenuate. hearing aids is about hearing aids. prazosin is about prazosin. zoloft is about zoloft. plastic surgeons is about plastic surgeons. Report