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Latest Polling Summaries (Sep 23) |
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Sunday, 07 October 2007 |
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Page 1 of 5 Aristotle writes:
Scholars, the latest summaries show what the summaries have shown for months. It's plain to anyone who wants to know the truth. But as Themistocles said, "truth is a heady wine, one must never overestimate the public's capacity for it".
| | | | L/NP | | ALP | | Others | | L/NP | ALP | | All 66 polls | Dec - Sep | | 37.60 | | 48.39 | | 14.01 | TPP | 43.2 | 56.8 | | 1st set of 11 polls | Dec - Feb | | 37.68 | | 46.68 | | 15.64 | TPP | 43.9 | 56.1 | | 2nd set of 11 polls | Mar - Apr | | 35.50 | | 49.77 | | 14.73 | TPP | 41.4 | 58.6 | | 3rd set of 11 polls | Apr - May | | 36.96 | | 49.82 | | 13.22 | TPP | 42.2 | 57.8 | | 4th set of 11 polls | May - Jun | | 38.50 | | 47.85 | | 13.65 | TPP | 44.0 | 56.0 | | 5th set of 11 polls | Jul - Aug | | 38.88 | | 47.48 | | 13.64 | TPP | 44.3 | 55.7 | | 6th set of 11 polls | Aug - Sep | | 38.05 | | 48.73 | | 13.22 | TPP | 43.3 | 56.7 | | Change 1st to 6th set | | | +0.37 | | +2.05 | | -2.42 | +/- | 0.6 | 0. | This shows the Coalition vote has only marginally improved, the ALP vote has solidly improved, and both increases came at the expense of the Others. Discusson on this data may take place here: http://ozelection2007.info/forums/viewtopic.php?id=641 Another table of data, analysing the past 65 poll results in a different fashion: | | L/NP | | ALP | | Others
| | | L/NP | ALP | ~ Sample size | | All 65 polls | 37.57 | | 48.38 | | 14.05 | | TPP
| 43.2 | 56.8 | 81,250 | | Last 60 polls | 37.63 | | 48.41 | | 13.96 | | TPP | 43.2 | 56.8 | 75,000 | Last 50 polls
| 37.67 | | 48.68 | | 13.65 | | TPP | 43.1 | 56.9 | 62,500 | | Last 40 polls | 38.14
| | 48.41 | | 13.45 | | TPP | 43.5 | 56.5 | 50,000 | | Last 30 polls | 38.54 | | 47.87 | | 13.59
| | TPP | 44.0 | 56.0
| 37,500 | Last 20 polls
| 38.5 | | 48.03 | | 13.44
| | TPP | 43.9 | 56.1 | 25,000 | | Last 10 polls | 37.90 | | 48.65 | | 13.45 | | TPP | 43.3 | 56.7 | 12,500 |
 This table of data was used in an editorial by Gerard McManus in the Herald Sun. The article can be found here . - Aristotle (21/09/07) Views: 368
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Last Updated ( Sunday, 07 October 2007 )
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